Summary

The French cooking terminal market, specializing in baking products prepared off-site, observed a strong recovery post the 2020 downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, with overall growth of 21.7% between 2015-2022 reaching 616 million euros in 2022. Despite facing a steady decline in demand for bread, with per capita consumption dropping almost 20% over a decade, baking terminals have demonstrated resilience. They compete by leveraging operational efficiency and adapting to the growing snacking trend. Regulations are also pivotal, not requiring specific qualifications to operate, in contrast to traditional bakeries. The rise of baking terminals, with La Mie Câline leading sales at 190 million euros, aligns with the general global market trend, forecasting a CAGR of 3.7% between 2023-2028, heading towards a 625.9 billion dollar industry by 2028. Supermarkets increasingly integrate baking terminals, contributing to convenience and revenue generation, even as artisan bakeries decline in numbers.

Trends in the French Bakery Terminal Market

In recent years, France has witnessed a notable shift within its boulangerie-pâtisserie sector. Artisan bakers currently hold the majority of the market at 70%, leaving a substantial 30% to baking terminals. These terminals are proving to project enormous potential within the industry, not requiring the traditional expertise or qualifications expected in conventional bakeries, thus broadening opportunities in the market. The French cooking terminal market has experienced a significant growth spurt between 2015 and 2022. Initially standing at around 506 million euros in sales in 2015, the market soared to approximately 616 million euros by 2022, marking an overall increase of about 21.7%. This surge showcases the persistent demand and the subsequent economic potential within this sector.

Despite the industry's growth, the number of bakery outlets has seen a slight but steady decline over the years, with around 500 fewer outlets in an eight-year span, and employee numbers have plateaued with only about 300 additional jobs created over the same timeframe. Geographically, Occitanie and Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes emerge as the regions with the highest concentration of cooking terminals, suggesting region-specific opportunities and market dominance. Interestingly, the demand for bread has seen a descent, with per capita consumption dipping by nearly 20% over a decade. This downtrend in bread consumption juxtaposes the increase in bakery terminals, indicating a changing palette among consumers who now favor quality, origin, and freshness over quantity.

Consumer insights reveal a high satisfaction rate with the quality of bread at about 96%, with a preference for wheat of French origin by 73% of the consumers surveyed. Moreover, bread is predominantly consumed during dinner and lunchtime, with the traditional French baguette being the most appreciated type of bread. The sector of bakery terminals is increasingly competitive, with establishments like La Mie Câline and Brioche Dorée towering with sales figures reaching between 45 and 200 million euros annually. Even amidst competition, artisanal bakeries maintain their charm, emphasizing their homegrown, high-quality products to differentiate themselves. The "artisan-boulanger" appellation, a marker of on-site bread production, remains exclusive to traditional bakeries.

The Competitive Landscape of Pivotal Market Players in the French Baking Terminal Industry

In the dynamic market of French baking terminals, certain key players have emerged as significant competitors, each with their own strategy for capturing market share and delivering value to customers. While these entities differ in their approach and market positioning, together they contribute to the rich fabric of France's vibrant boulangerie-pâtisserie sector.

La Mie Câline is recognized for its friendly atmosphere and wide product range, catering to customers looking for both traditional bread and innovative bakery creations. Their establishments are often strategically located to tap into both the local neighborhood foot traffic and the convenience-seeking shopper.

Brioche Dorée has established itself as a trusted brand combining the quick-service aspect with a touch of French bakery tradition. Their menu encompasses classic baked goods and extends to include modern adaptations, such as sandwiches and salads, appealing to the on-the-go consumer.

Paul stands out as a trailblazer in the market, with a long-standing history and a reputation for high-quality products. They have broad international appeal and have successfully positioned themselves as ambassadors of French bakery culture around the world.

Ange Boulangerie enters the market with a focus on eco-friendly practices and affordable pricing. They have carved out a niche for themselves by emphasizing sustainability and consumer well-being, factors which increasingly resonate with contemporary customers.

Feuillette differentiates itself through a blend of artisanal charm and industrial efficiency. Their baking terminals offer a consistent and quality product portfolio that appeals to both traditionalists and modern clientele seeking convenience without compromising on taste.

Pomme de Pain, a name synonymous with sandwiches and pastries, attracts a diverse customer base with their fast-food style service interwoven with French bakery sensibilities. Their outlets are designed to cater to the needs of the quick meal seeker who values French culinary staples.

La Croissanterie has adapted to consumer trends by providing a marriage of convenience and variety in its offering. Known particularly for croissants and similarly beloved viennoiseries, their products align well with French taste preferences and eating habits.

Le Fournil de Pierre embraces the ethos of a traditional boulangerie while adapting to the demands of modern business operations. They maintain a customer-oriented approach, with a selection that embraces both the timeless and the contemporary.

Léon de Bruxelles might be smaller in scale compared to others, but it showcases a dedication to tradition with its specialized offerings,

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  • Number of pages : 30 pages
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  • Last update : 09/11/2023
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Summary and extracts

1 Market overview

1.1 Definition and scope of study

A cooking terminal, or "hot spot", is an establishment that cooks or reheats products previously manufactured elsewhere. Baking terminals therefore only carry out a commercial activity, and not an artisanal one, as it is not there that raw materials are transported for production.

Baking terminals are mainly used in the boulangerie-pâtisserie sector, which is well established in France, with over 12 million consumers every day. 70% of the market is currently held by artisan bakers, leaving 30% for baking terminals.

France boasts 1,357 baking terminals. While a bakery terminal may not bear the traditional name of a "boulangerie", it can sell the same products, and doesn't need any specific training or qualifications, since the know-how doesn't reside in the bakery terminal. In the bakery-pastry sector, baking terminals therefore represent great potential.

Baking terminals are mainly based on franchises, and many major bakery chains offer the possibility of providing a franchise: Le Pain du Jour, Fournil de Pierre, Brioche Dorée, Fischer, La Mie Câline... You'll need to pay an entry fee and an annual royalty on sales, in addition to the purchase/rental of the site and equipment (oven and cold room). However, the initial capital outlay is quickly repaid, and franchising proves highly profitable and far less costly than running a conventional bakery.

However, the sector is facing major challenges, not least the decline in bread consumption in France.

1.2 The world market for bakery products

Forecast trend in the size of the global "Bakery Products" market World, ****-****, in billions of US$ IMARCGROUP

In ****, the global market size for bakery products was US$ ***.* billion. A CAGR of *.*% is forecast between **** and ****, reaching a market size of ***.* billion dollars in ****.

1.3 The size of the French bakery terminal market

Growth in the size of the French bakery terminal market France, ****-****, in millions of euros INSEE

The French cooking terminal market grew by **.*% overall between **** and ****, from *** million euros in sales in **** to *** million in ****. Growth has been steady, with the exception of **** when sales fell to *** million, probably due ...

2 Demand analysis

2.1 Typology of demand

Bread and Viennese pastries are consumed in large quantities in France. They are staples in the diets of many French people.

The French and bread in **** France, ****, in Artisans Gourmands

**% of the population is satisfied with the quality of bread, while **% perceive an improvement in this quality. More than half ...

2.2 Declining demand for bread

Per capita bread consumption per day France, **** - ****, in grams Source: ****

Bread consumption in France is on a downward trend. In fact, per capita consumption has fallen by almost **% in ** years. Bread consumption in France is declining due to consumers' growing quest for quality, focusing on taste, traditional manufacturing and freshness, ...

2.3 Consumption of Viennese pastries (focus on croissants)

The croissant, an emblematic Viennese pastry, occupies a significant place in the bakery terminal market. Its popularity remains constant, both in France and internationally, as a symbol of French culinary savoir-faire. As a key product, the croissant is prized for its quality, freshness and distinctive taste.

Reasons for buying croissants by ...

3 Market structure

3.1 Breakdown of bakery terminal activity

Market share of main bakery outlets France, ****, in Businesscoot Paul dominates the market among bakery outlets.

Breakdown of bakery sales by type of activity France, ****, in INSEE

Retail sales (***) account for the lion's share of bakery sales.

Breakdown of bakery sales by product category France, ****, in FranceAgrimer

Bake-off sales are mainly ...

3.2 Business trends

Growth in the number of bakery outlets France, ****-****, in units URSSAF

Change in number of employees in catering outlets France, ****-****, in units URSSAF

There has been a fairly stable decline in the number of bakery outlets over the years (***).

3.3 Geographical distribution of cooking terminals

According to URSSAF, Occitanie and Auvergne Rhône-Alpes are the regions with the most cooking terminals, with *** and *** establishments respectively in ****.

Here's a summary table:

3.4 Cooking terminals in supermarkets

Baking terminals are frequently integrated into large-scale retail outlets. There are several reasons for this:

Convenience for consumers : Baking terminals offer consumers the opportunity to buy freshly prepared bakery products while shopping in a supermarket. This simplifies the purchasing process and satisfies customers' convenience needs, which is an important competitive advantage. Customer ...

3.5 Value chain

4 Offer analysis

4.1 Typologie de l'offre

Voici par exemple, les types de pain proposés par la mie câline

Les sandwiches :

Les prix proposés en terminaux de cuisson varient largement en fonction de la région, de l'emplacement, etc. Néanmoins, il sont souvent moins élevés que les prix en boulangerie classique.

Frais d'exploitation ...

4.2 Details of our range of bakery products

Number of bakery outlets by floor area France, ****, in INSEE

The vast majority of bakery outlets are between ** and ** square meters.

Supplier analysis France, ****, in INSEE

Terminals are mainly supplied by producers and marketing subsidiaries (***)

For a bakery, here are the key management ratios:

[***]

4.3 Baking terminals compete with traditional bakeries

Baking terminals, such as Paul, La Mie Câline and others, compete with traditional bakeries thanks to a combination of operational efficiency, diversified offerings and competitive prices. They have automated production to cut costs while maintaining quality, enabling them to offer bakery products at attractive prices. What's more, by responding to ...

5 Regulations

5.1 Regulations

Opening a bakery terminal doesn't require any particular qualifications, but an artisan baker must hold a certificat d'aptitude professionnelle (***), or a recognized equivalent diploma. In the absence of a diploma, three years' bakery experience is required. All openings of this type of establishment must comply with the laws governing retail trade ...

6 Positioning the players

6.1 Segmentation

  • E.Leclerc
  • La Mie Caline (Groupe Monts Fournil)
  • Auchan Hypermarches
  • Carrefour Groupe
  • Casino Groupe
  • Paul Boulangerie (Groupe Holder)
  • La Brioche Dorée (Le Duff Groupe)

List of charts

  • Trends in the size of the French bakery terminal market
  • Growth in the number of cooking terminals
  • Change in the number of employees in bakery terminals
  • Bread consumption trends
  • Baguette price trend
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Latest news

Casino: Intermarché and Auchan win the bid - 18/12/2023
  • Casino: Intermarché, which had joined forces with Auchan to buy the 320 stores, finally won the bid.
  • The value of the transaction would be close to 1.6 billion euros, or 37% of the sales taken over (3.6 billion euros).
  • A social issue
  • In addition to the takeover of dozens of supermarkets and hypermarkets, Carrefour PROPOSED to take over 7,000 convenience stores under the Petit Casino, Vival and other banners. This possibility was rejected by Casino and its receivers
  • Intermarché has opened up its internal rules for independent groups to franchising, to accommodate the 60 Casino franchisees.
  • Intermarché and Auchan will share the 313 outlets sold in roughly equal parts, with Auchan taking over almost all of the 42 hypermarkets.
  • Monoprix and Franprix will remain under Groupe Casino control
80 Carrefour hypermarkets operated under franchise or leasing agreements - 14/11/2023
  • On October 20, Carrefour announced its intention to switch 37 stores (comprising 15 hypermarkets and 21 supermarkets) to lease management.
  • Since 2018, 80 hypermarkets have left integrated status, representing around a third of all hypermarkets.
  • Around 75% of supermarkets (784 out of 1038) are currently leased or franchised.
Carrefour to lease out 37 stores - 21/10/2023
  • Carrefour plans to lease out 37 new stores in 2022, 16 hypermarkets and 21 supermarkets.
  • Around 4,000 employees affected
  • The company launched an outsourcing program in 2018.
  • The number announced is in line with previous years: 41 stores (including 16 hyper) in 2023, 43 stores (including 16 hyper) in 2022, and 47 stores (including 10 hyper) in 2021.
  • Since Alexandre Bompard took over as CEO, 305 stores, including 80 hypermarkets, have been outsourced, affecting more than 23,000 employees.
Paul's bakeries launch a French-style Starbucks concept - 20/09/2023
  • The Paul group was founded by the Holder family.
  • The "Paul le café" concept was launched three years ago, and now boasts 28 coffee shops worldwide.
  • The Paul Group plans to double its network with 20 new openings by the end of 2024, mainly via franchising.
  • The group is targeting train stations, airports and freeways in France.
  • Paul reported sales of 822 million euros in 2022.
  • The group has 801 stores, half of which are in France.
  • The group is present in 52 countries and plans to open 50 to 60 stores each year.
  • In France, the Group plans to open an average of 30 stores a year.
  • The group plans to return to China, where it has not been present since 2009.
Food: Carrefour joins forces with seven manufacturers to promote plant-based products - 07/09/2023
  • The aim of the international coalition to accelerate sales of plant-based alternatives is to achieve joint sales of 3 billion euros in this niche by 2026.
  • Carrefour's share will be 500 million euros, a 60% increase on today's figure.
  • Plant-based alternatives represented a market worth 553 million euros in 2022
  • Sales of plant-based products are enjoying double-digit growth.
Carrefour takes over Cora to avoid being left behind in France - 13/07/2023
  • Carrefour acquired 60 Cora hypermarkets and 115 Match supermarkets.
  • The acquisition cost was 1.05 billion euros.
  • The acquired store networks have a strong presence in the Grand Est and Northern regions of France.
  • With this acquisition, Carrefour's sales will increase by 5.2 billion euros, adding to the 42 billion euros it currently generates in France.
  • Carrefour will take over 55 hypermarkets and 77 supermarkets.
  • The combined market share of Carrefour and Cora will reach 22.6%, competing closely with Leclerc (22.4%).
  • Carmila, the real estate company in which Carrefour holds a 36% stake, has reached an agreement to take over Louis Delhaize's 93% stake in Galimmo, a company owning 52 shopping arcades adjacent to Cora stores.

Companies quoted in this study

This study contains a complete overview of the companies in the market, with the latest figures and news for each company. :

E.Leclerc
La Mie Caline (Groupe Monts Fournil)
Auchan Hypermarches
Carrefour Groupe
Casino Groupe
Paul Boulangerie (Groupe Holder)
La Brioche Dorée (Le Duff Groupe)

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