Synthèse

The global heat pump market has grown significantly, with the French market expanding rapidly and retaining its position as European leader. The value of heat pump production in the EU has almost doubled, from €1.489 billion to €3 billion in 2021, according to Eurostat. In France, the value of production has continued to rise significantly, from 179.9 million to 568.6 million in 2020, an increase of 316.1%. This growth coincides with growing environmental concerns and escalating energy costs, prompting consumers and public policies to favor more sustainable heating solutions.

While sales of geothermal heat pumps have declined, sales of aerothermal heat pumps have exploded, with a 226.4% increase between 2016 and 2021, reaching 1,011,410 units sold in 2021, mainly air-to-air models. The sector also reflects a trend towards innovation, with the arrival of connected and hybrid heat pumps.

In addition, France's trade balance for heat pumps shows a declining coverage rate, from 474.7% to 114% between 2017 and 2021, while maintaining a surplus over the past five years. The French market presents a thriving ecosystem with 13,318 companies and 108,658 employees in 2021, according to Urssaf data, with the distribution of heat pump power highest in the 5 kW to 10 kW range.

Demand trends in the French heat pump market

In France, demand for heat pumps has been influenced by several key factors reflecting both economic and ecological concerns. Among these factors, the cost of domestic heating energy plays a key role. A large majority of French people - around 79% - keep a close eye on their heating consumption, reflecting an acute awareness of energy costs. This vigilance is partly explained by the energy vulnerability of around 14.6% of French households. The fact that these households tend to be located far from urban centers, and are predominantly made up of single people or people under the age of 30, underlines their sensitivity to energy costs.

French consumers seem to prefer heat pump systems, which are considered less unsatisfactory than individual electric heating solutions. Air-to-water heat pumps and geothermal heat pumps cost around 8.67 and 7.49 euro cents per kW respectively. Environmental concerns also play an important role in shaping market demand.

Surveys indicate that ecological considerations top the list of reasons for home renovations, even ahead of aesthetic improvements. These sentiments are reinforced by the French government's green policies, such as the Plan Climat 2017, which aims to promote the adoption of less polluting energy solutions such as heat pumps.

Various financial incentives, such as the energy voucher, tax credits for low-income households and a bonus for replacing oil-fired heating systems with renewable alternatives, have been introduced to stimulate demand. The country's construction and renovation rates are also having an impact on the heat pump market. With construction levels holding steady, and an expected increase in new house building, demand for heat pumps is set to grow.

The energy renovation bonus has encouraged more French people to consider energy renovations, including the adoption of passive houses that do not require conventional heating systems. The seasonal nature of the energy market, linked to climatic variations, also influences heating requirements. There is no fixed date for the activation or deactivation of collective heating systems in France; however, the law stipulates an indoor temperature of around 18 degrees.

Finally, confidence in the product is particularly high among the French population. Heat pumps enjoy a good reputation, with an OpinionWay survey revealing that over 80% of those questioned have confidence in this renewable energy system. This confidence is probably a contributing factor to the growing demand for heat pumps in the country. Given this dynamic, the French heat pump market is showing strong demand influenced by economic considerations, environmental awareness, the heat pump market is teeming with companies specializing in the manufacture and distribution of heating solutions that meet contemporary standards of energy efficiency and environmental sustainability.

Among the notable entities in this space are several industry heavyweights with a significant impact on market dynamics.

  • Groupe Atlantic is a French manufacturer renowned for its wide range of heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) products, including heat pumps. The company has established itself as a market leader by constantly proposing innovative, environmentally-friendly solutions that meet the growing demand for efficient, renewable heating systems.
  • Ariston Thermo is another key player in the global heat pump market, with a diversified offering that meets both residential and commercial heating needs. Its products are recognized for their quality, durability and energy-saving capabilities, making them a preferred choice for many people looking for sustainable heating options.
  • The BDR Thermea Group is a well-established Dutch company in the heat pump sector. It has built its reputation on a wide range of heating and hot water products. BDR Thermea's commitment to smarter, more sustainable technologies has made it a leading contender in the race towards a cleaner energy future.
  • Bosch offers a range of high-quality heat pumps, with a focus on technological progress and eco-efficiency. Renowned for their reliability and advanced features, Bosch heating solutions meet the requirements of different sectors and consumers.
  • Vaillant Group and Viessmann are German companies with a rich heritage in the heating, ventilation and air-conditioning industry. Their expertise in heat pump production is internationally recognized, and their commitment to quality and sustainability continues to shape the market landscape.
  • Systemair and Lennox International are other key players with a broad international footprint. Their blend of traditional values and innovative approaches to heating technology enables both companies to provide efficient, reliable products ready to meet the challenges of the modern energy market.
  • UTC (United Technologies Corporation), prior to its 2020 merger with Raytheon Technologies, offered a full range of heat pump systems through its various HVAC brands, for both residential and commercial applications.

These leading manufacturers, along with countless other smaller, specialist companies, ensure a competitive and dynamic market for heat pumps, providing technologies that are at the forefront of the green energy movement. They make a substantial contribution to the growth of the sector, offering cutting-edge solutions that pave the way for a sustainable living environment.

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  • Nombre de pages : 30 pages
  • Format : Version digitale et PDF
  • Dernière mise à jour : 17/08/2023
Détail des mises à jour

Sommaire et extraits

1 Market overview

1.1 Market definition and presentation

Heat pumps are an ecological and economical solution for heating and cooling your home. They are based on a thermodynamic system that transforms energy from a cold environment into heat for the space to be heated.

There are several types of heat pumps, with different mechanisms:

  • traditional air/air aerothermal
  • geothermal (transforms energy drawn from the ground)
  • hydrothermal (transforms energy drawn from the water table).

Just like the booming world market, the French heat pump market is growing rapidly. It should be noted that France is the leading European market.

Heat pumps are used in both homes and existing company offices, and are also one of the preferred systems in new buildings and renovations, after the wood-burning stove.the use of heat pumps will account for a growing share of renewable energy consumption in France.

The air-to-air and air-to-water hydrothermal pump segments are the most dynamic in the sector, while the geothermal heat pump segment is in decline.

The market is largely influenced by growing environmental concerns as well as the constantly rising cost of energy for heating a home. The sector is also largely dependent on the public sphere and policies that can stimulate the use of more environmentally friendly energy solutions.

Innovation also represents a real growth driver for the market. through a renewed, increasingly connected and intelligent offer, heat pumps should be able to manage their energy consumption levels even more precisely and appropriately, which is an economic as well as an ecological advantage.

 

1.2 The European market

We rely on the data provided by Eurostat using the code ******** which corresponds to the following heading: "Heat pumps (***)"

The value of heat pump production has been growing rapidly over the past decade as it has doubled from €*.*** billion in **** to €* billion in ****.

Value of heat pump production European Union, **** to ...

1.3 The domestic market

The value of French heat pump production has grown significantly over the past ten years, from ***.* million in **** to ***.* million in ****, an increase of ***.*%.

Value of heat pump production France, **** to ****, in million euros Source: ****

The number of geothermal heat pump sales has been steadily decreasing since ****, both water-to-water and ground-linked ...

1.4 Trade balance

We base our analysis on UN Comtrade data using the code ******, which corresponds to heat pumps.

We observe that France has had a surplus balance over the last * years. However, the coverage rate (***) is falling sharply, from ***.*% to ***% between **** and ****. The value of exports is fairly stable at around $*** million. Imports, ...

2 Analysis of the demand

2.1 The main determinants of demand

The * main factors affecting the market are:

The price of energy to heat your home Environmental concerns The implementation of ecological policies Construction and renovation rates in the territory Climate Confidence in the product

Prices

The French are very attentive to the amount of their electricity bill. As shown in the ...

2.2 Heating consumption in the tertiary sector

In ****, total heating energy consumption in the tertiary sector amounted to ** TW/h, driven in particular by administration and offices (***). Heating accounted for an average of **.*% of the sector's energy consumption, of which nearly **.*% was for education.

Annual heating consumption in the tertiary sector by branch France, ****, in kWh/m* Source: ...

3 Market structure

3.1 Number of establishments and employees

We rely on Urssaf data using code ****B, which corresponds to the following definition "Installation work for thermal and air-conditioning equipment", which goes beyond heat pumps but offers us insight into the evolution of the market.

The number of companies and employees in this sector has experienced two distinct trends over ...

3.2 Operation of a heat pump

The table below summarizes the operation of a heat pump

3.3 Geographical distribution of establishments

The map below shows the geographical distribution of establishments with NAF code "**.**B: Installation of heating and air-conditioning equipment", which again goes beyond the heat pump market but gives an idea of the geographical distribution.

Geographical breakdown of sales by region for the various types of pump

Auvergne Rhône-Alpes and ...

3.4 Distribution by power and distribution channels

The graph below shows the distribution of geothermal heat pump sales according to their power. It can be seen that the majority of sales are for capacities between * kW and ** kW, which represent half of all geothermal heat pump sales. Next come heat pumps with a capacity of between ** and ** kW ...

4 Analysis of the offer

4.1 Type of products

As previously stated, there are different models of heat pumps. Heat pumps are distinguished according to three criteria, namely their energy source, their thermal diffusion system and the energy source used.

Aerothermal heat pumps

The traditional air-to-air heat pump, which transforms the air in one space to heat it and transfer ...

4.2 An innovative market

The graph below represents the proportion of searches for a given keyword́ in a region and for a specific time period, compared to when the rate of use of that keyword́ was highest (***).

Thus, a value of ** means that the keyword was used less often in France, and a value of ...

4.3 Heat pump prices by product type

According to Observ ER, the prices of the various heat pumps are as follows in ****:

In addition to these different purchase and installation prices, there is the operating cost which varies from *€ to *€ per square meter per year (***).

However, there are many financial aids available to finance the project (***).

5 Regulation

5.1 Regulatory framework

A market subject to European directives

In ****, new European eco-design and energy labeling directives were applied[***].

The European eco-design directive deals with all products that use energy to encourage consumers to buy more energy efficient appliances. It gives a list of criteria to be respected when buying a product so that ...

Liste des graphiques

  • Valeur de la production de pompes à chaleur
  • Répartition de la valeur de la production de pompes à chaleur
  • Vigilance des Français sur la consommation de chauffage
  • Les types de chauffage générant le plus d'insatisfaction
  • Confiance accordée aux énergies renouvelables
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Dernières actualités

Atlantic rachète Clade, spécialiste britannique de la pompe à chaleur CO2 - 18/04/2023
  • Groupe Atlantic : spécialiste européen du chauffage, de la ventilation et de l'air conditionné
  • 13.000 salariés (la moitié en France)
  • Chiffre d'affaires de 3 milliards d'euros en 2022
  • Nombreuses acquisitions:Acquisitions : - Ween (thermostat intelligent) - SST Warm Floor (planchers chauffants) - Hautec (géothermie) - Thermic Energy (stockage de l'énergie et ballons de stockage primaire)
  • Rachat du Britannique Clade Engineering Systems
  • Expert en fluides frigorigènes « naturels » - Technologie de pointe utilisant du CO₂ comme réfrigérant pour les pompes à chaleur collective (50 kW à plus d'1 MW)
  • Basé à Bristol - 89 salariés - Chiffre d'affaires de 28 millions d'euros
  • La Division « United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland et North America » représente 20 % du chiffre d'affaires et des effectifs d'Atlantic
Chauffage : Groupe Atlantic mise sur le made in France - 20/04/2023
  • Groupe Atlantic a réalisé un chiffre d'affaires de 3 milliards d'euros en 2021.
  • Le groupe est devenu leader des pompes à chaleur (PAC) en France et deuxième acteur en Europe.
  • Les PAC représentent actuellement 30% du chiffre d'affaires d'Atlantic (contre 45% pour l'électrique et 25% pour le gaz).
  • L'objectif d'Atlantic est de porter la part des PAC à plus de 50%.
  • La France représente la moitié du chiffre d'affaires d'Atlantic.
  • Le groupe possède 31 sites industriels, dont 15 en France.
  • En 2022, Atlantic a recruté 1 500 personnes, dont 1 000 en France.
  • Le marché des PAC a connu une croissance supplémentaire en raison de la guerre en Ukraine et de la flambée des prix des énergies fossiles.
  • Les PAC permettent de réaliser 40 à 50% d'économies d'énergie.
  • Atlantic est présent à l'international, notamment au Royaume-Uni (25% de son activité), en Inde, en Autriche et en Turquie.
Atlantic choisit la France pour sa nouvelle usine de de pompe à chaleur - 14/10/2023
  • Le groupe Atlantic est le numéro un français de la pompe à chaleur, avec un chiffre d'affaires de 3,2 milliards d'euros.
  • Il possède 31 sites industriels et emploie 13000 personnes.
  • Le groupe Atlantic implante une nouvelle usine à Chalon-sur-Saône, dans la Saône-et-Loire.
  • Début de la production prévu pour 2025, pleine capacité en 2028.
  • L'usine doit fabriquer chaque année 180000 unités.
  • Objectif du gouvernement de multiplier par trois d'ici 2030 le nombre de pompes à chaleur fabriquées en France, pour atteindre 1 million.

Entreprises citées dans cette étude

Cette étude contient un panorama complet des entreprises du marché avec les derniers chiffres et actualités de chaque entreprise :

Atlantic Groupe
BDR Thermea (De Dietrich, Remea, Baxi)
Daikin (France)
Vaillant Group (Saunier Duval)
Systemair
Comafranc
Richardson
Hervé Thermique groupe
Saint-Gobain Groupe
Carrier Global
Giordano Riello Group (Aermec)
Chappée (BDR Therma)

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Ajouts et mises à jour

  • 01/03/2024 - Mise à jour des données financières de l'entreprise Saint-Gobain Groupe
  • 25/02/2024 - Ajout des informations de l'entreprise Xterma Energies
  • 16/02/2024 - Ajout des informations de l'entreprise Arkeon Energy Systems
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  • 18/12/2023 - Ajout des informations de l'entreprise Idex 2
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  • 21/10/2023 - Ajout des informations de l'entreprise Aldes Aerolique
  • 18/10/2023 - Ajout des informations de l'entreprise Atkteos (Actidis Groupe)
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  • 03/08/2023 - Mise à jour des données financières de l'entreprise Daikin (France)
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  • 01/06/2023 - Ajout des informations de l'entreprise Rexel
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  • 21/04/2023 - Ajout des informations de l'entreprise Systemair Groupe
  • 26/02/2023 - Mise à jour des données financières de l'entreprise LG Electronics France
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